Prior to the recent resurgence prompted by the US–China trade war, tariffs on international trade had been consistently diminishing over the past few decades. In response, advanced countries increasingly turned to non-tariff measures (NTMs) to protect their industries from foreign competition. In this article, we exploit a novel database on NTMs to investigate their impact on the labor market in the United States. We use the political importance of an industry, measured by its employment share in swing states during presidential elections, as an instrumental variable for NTM protection. Our results suggest that NTMs mitigate the adverse employment effects resulting from exposure to Chinese import competition, but exert a negative influence on manufacturing wages, particularly for skilled workers.

Leonardi, M., Meschi, E. (2026). Non-tariff barriers to trade. THE JOURNAL OF LAW ECONOMICS & ORGANIZATION, 42(1 (March 2026)), 188-220 [10.1093/jleo/ewae023].

Non-tariff barriers to trade

Meschi, Elena
2026

Abstract

Prior to the recent resurgence prompted by the US–China trade war, tariffs on international trade had been consistently diminishing over the past few decades. In response, advanced countries increasingly turned to non-tariff measures (NTMs) to protect their industries from foreign competition. In this article, we exploit a novel database on NTMs to investigate their impact on the labor market in the United States. We use the political importance of an industry, measured by its employment share in swing states during presidential elections, as an instrumental variable for NTM protection. Our results suggest that NTMs mitigate the adverse employment effects resulting from exposure to Chinese import competition, but exert a negative influence on manufacturing wages, particularly for skilled workers.
Articolo in rivista - Articolo scientifico
Non-tariff barriers; import competition; manufacturing employment; wages; IV
English
5-set-2024
2026
42
1 (March 2026)
188
220
partially_open
Leonardi, M., Meschi, E. (2026). Non-tariff barriers to trade. THE JOURNAL OF LAW ECONOMICS & ORGANIZATION, 42(1 (March 2026)), 188-220 [10.1093/jleo/ewae023].
File in questo prodotto:
File Dimensione Formato  
Leonardi_Meschi_JLEO_2024.pdf

Solo gestori archivio

Descrizione: paper
Tipologia di allegato: Publisher’s Version (Version of Record, VoR)
Licenza: Tutti i diritti riservati
Dimensione 1.92 MB
Formato Adobe PDF
1.92 MB Adobe PDF   Visualizza/Apri   Richiedi una copia
Leonardi-Meschi-2026-Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization-VoR.pdf

accesso aperto

Tipologia di allegato: Publisher’s Version (Version of Record, VoR)
Licenza: Creative Commons
Dimensione 2.81 MB
Formato Adobe PDF
2.81 MB Adobe PDF Visualizza/Apri

I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.

Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/10281/514799
Citazioni
  • Scopus 0
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.isi??? 0
Social impact